2. Bundesliga (Germany) · Sat, Sep 19 · 11:00 · 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Eintracht Braunschweig
Likeliest: 1. FC Kaiserslautern win · 49%
A tight one: we make it 49% for the home win. The market says 49%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
1. FC Kaiserslautern49%49%0
OursMarket
Draw24%24%0
OursMarket
Eintracht Braunschweig26%26%0
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 61% | +2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 64% | 62% | +2 |
| Double chance 1X | 74% | 74% | 0 |
| Double chance X2 | 51% | 51% | 0 |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | 76% | 0 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 65% | 65% | 0 |
| Expected goals | 1.7 | 1.2 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
1. FC Kaiserslautern
DrawDrawWinWinLoss
- Sep 12 · at 1. FC Magdeburg (A)0-3
- Sep 5 · v Darmstadt 98 (H)3-0
- Aug 30 · at FC St. Pauli (A)2-1
- Aug 21 · at SV Waldhof Mannheim (A)0-0
- Aug 15 · v Karlsruher SC (H)0-0
Eintracht Braunschweig
LossLossLossLossDraw
- Sep 12 · v SG Dynamo Dresden (H)2-2
- Sep 6 · at VfL Osnabrück (A)1-3
- Aug 28 · v Hertha BSC (H)3-5
- Aug 23 · v 1. FC Union Berlin (H)2-4
- Aug 14 · v VfL Bochum 1848 (H)0-1
| Last 10 games | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | Eintracht Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-3-3 | 3-1-6 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.7 | 2.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 10% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 60% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 6-1-3 | 2-1-7 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.