PredictionPitch is a free AI-powered football prediction platform. We publish match probabilities across global leagues and track every prediction transparently — wins and losses alike. No paywalls, no premium tiers, no hidden picks.
For every match where sufficient historical data exists, PredictionPitch generates probabilities across three markets: 1X2 (home win, draw, away win), Over/Under 2.5 goals, and Both Teams To Score (BTTS). Each prediction includes the model's probability estimate alongside the best available bookmaker odds, so you can compare what our model believes with what the market implies.
When our model's estimated probability meaningfully exceeds the probability implied by bookmaker odds, we flag the match as a potential value bet. This is edge detection — not a guarantee. Most matches will not show value, because markets are generally efficient. When value does appear, we track the outcome publicly on the performance page.
Every prediction is logged the moment it is published. Performance metrics — including win rate, payback percentage, and match-by-match results — are available on the performance page. Current all-time value bet stats: 59.4% win rate, 112.3% payback across 395+ tracked bets. Nothing is deleted after the fact.
PredictionPitch uses an ensemble of statistical and machine learning models: ELO-style team strength ratings, Bayesian Poisson and Dixon-Coles goal modeling, and an XGBoost meta-learner for calibration. The system is trained on 53,000+ historical matches. Probability calibration uses temperature scaling and Platt scaling to correct systematic bias.
Coverage spans major European competitions — Premier League, Championship, Champions League, La Liga, Bundesliga, Serie A, Ligue 1, Eredivisie — and extends to leagues worldwide where data quality supports reliable modeling. We go where the value is, including leagues where bookmakers may be less efficient.
PredictionPitch is funded through partnerships with licensed bookmakers. We publish probabilities and results openly. If you choose to bet, please do so responsibly. Gambling involves risk.
