Liga 1 (Peru) · Sun, Sep 20 · 20:30 · ADC Juan Pablo II vs CD Moquegua
Likeliest: ADC Juan Pablo II win · 66%
A tight one: we make it 66% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
ADC Juan Pablo II66%——
OursMarket
Draw21%——
OursMarket
CD Moquegua14%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 59% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 86% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 35% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 79% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 83% | — | — |
| Expected goals | 2.1 | 0.8 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
ADC Juan Pablo II
LossWinWinDrawWin
- Sep 11 · at Universidad Técnica de Cajamarca (A)2-1
- Sep 6 · v Alianza Lima (H)1-1
- Aug 29 · at Los Chankas CYC (A)4-3
- Aug 22 · v Asociación Deportiva Tarma (H)5-1
- Aug 14 · at Cusco FC (A)0-2
CD Moquegua
DrawWinLossLossLoss
- Sep 13 · v Club Sporting Cristal (H)1-2
- Sep 5 · at Cusco FC (A)0-2
- Aug 30 · v Alianza Atlético de Sullana (H)1-4
- Aug 22 · at Sport Huancayo (A)2-0
- Aug 16 · v Sport Boys (H)1-1
| Last 10 games | ADC Juan Pablo II | CD Moquegua |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-3-3 | 1-4-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 1-1-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.