Super League (Greece) · Sun, Aug 30 · 18:00 · AE Kifisia vs AEK Athens
Likeliest: AEK Athens win · 43%
We make it 50% for under 2.5 goals. The market says 44%.
6 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
AE Kifisia31%11%+20
OursMarket
Draw26%20%+6
OursMarket
AEK Athens43%69%−26
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 56% | −6 |
| Both teams score | 48% | 48% | 0 |
| Double chance 1X | 57% | 31% | +26 |
| Double chance X2 | 69% | 89% | −20 |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | 80% | −6 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 42% | 14% | +28 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
AE Kifisia
Win
- Aug 19 · at APS Zakynthos 1961 (A)6-1
AEK Athens
DrawDrawDrawWinWin
- Aug 26 · v Levski Sofia (H)4-0
- Aug 22 · v Iraklis 1908 (H)4-0
- Aug 18 · at Levski Sofia (A)0-0
- May 17 · v Olympiacos F.C. (H)1-1
- May 13 · at PAOK (A)1-1
| Last 10 games | AE Kifisia | AEK Athens |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | — | 5-4-1 |
| Goals scored a game | — | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | — | 0.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | — | 60% |
| Both teams scored | — | 40% |
| Clean sheets | — | 50% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 3-6-1 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.