Greek Cup Betsson (Greece) · Wed, Sep 16 · 14:45 · AE Kifisia vs Panathinaikos
Likeliest: Panathinaikos win · 59%
We make it 58% for both teams to score. The market says 46%.
12 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
AE Kifisia14%12%+2
OursMarket
Draw27%21%+7
OursMarket
Panathinaikos59%67%−8
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 50% | +2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 58% | 46% | +12 |
| Double chance 1X | 41% | 33% | +8 |
| Double chance X2 | 86% | 88% | −2 |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | 79% | −7 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 19% | 15% | +4 |
| Expected goals | 1.2 | 2.0 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
AE Kifisia
DrawDrawLossLossDraw
- Sep 13 · v APO Levadiakos (H)0-0
- Sep 10 · at Panathinaikos (A)1-3
- Sep 6 · at OFI Crete (A)0-2
- Sep 2 · at GS Marko (A)2-2
- Aug 30 · v AEK Athens (H)1-1
Panathinaikos
WinWinWinWinWin
- Sep 13 · v Panetolikos (H)3-0
- Sep 10 · v AE Kifisia (H)3-1
- Sep 6 · v PAOK (H)3-1
- Sep 3 · v Niki Volou (H)1-0
- Aug 31 · at APO Levadiakos (A)2-0
| Last 10 games | AE Kifisia | Panathinaikos |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-3-2 | 5-5-0 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.7 | 1.9 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 17% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 4-3-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.