Premier League (England) · Sat, Mar 15 · 17:30 · AFC Bournemouth vs Brentford
Likeliest: AFC Bournemouth win · 47%
A tight one: we make it 47% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
AFC Bournemouth47%——
OursMarket
Draw26%——
OursMarket
Brentford27%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 73% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 53% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 63% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
AFC Bournemouth
WinWinLossLossDraw
- Mar 9 · at Tottenham Hotspur (A)2-2
- Feb 25 · at Brighton & Hove Albion (A)1-2
- Feb 22 · v Wolverhampton Wanderers (H)0-1
- Feb 15 · at Southampton (A)3-1
- Feb 8 · at Everton (A)2-0
Brentford
LossWinWinDrawLoss
- Mar 8 · v Aston Villa (H)0-1
- Feb 26 · v Everton (H)1-1
- Feb 21 · at Leicester City (A)4-0
- Feb 15 · at West Ham United (A)1-0
- Feb 2 · v Tottenham Hotspur (H)0-2
| Last 10 games | AFC Bournemouth | Brentford |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-2-3 | 4-2-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.4 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 30% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-0-2 | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.