Premier League (England) · Sat, Feb 1 · 15:00 · AFC Bournemouth vs Liverpool
Likeliest: AFC Bournemouth win · 50%
A tight one: we make it 50% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
AFC Bournemouth50%——
OursMarket
Draw24%——
OursMarket
Liverpool26%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 74% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 50% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 66% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
AFC Bournemouth
WinWinDrawWinWin
- Jan 25 · v Nottingham Forest (H)5-0
- Jan 18 · at Newcastle United (A)4-1
- Jan 14 · at Chelsea (A)2-2
- Jan 11 · v West Bromwich Albion (H)5-1
- Jan 4 · v Everton (H)1-0
Liverpool
DrawWinWinWinLoss
- Jan 29 · at PSV (A)2-3
- Jan 25 · v Ipswich Town (H)4-1
- Jan 21 · v LOSC Lille (H)2-1
- Jan 18 · at Brentford (A)2-0
- Jan 14 · at Nottingham Forest (A)1-1
| Last 10 games | AFC Bournemouth | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-1-0 | 4-2-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 3.4 | 2.1 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.8 | 1.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 63% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 63% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 25% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.