Eredivisie (Netherlands) · Sun, Feb 2 · 13:30 · Ajax vs Feyenoord
Likeliest: Ajax win · 41%
A tight one: we make it 41% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Ajax41%——
OursMarket
Draw24%——
OursMarket
Feyenoord35%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 65% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 59% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 54% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Ajax
WinLossWinLossWin
- Jan 30 · v Galatasaray (H)2-1
- Jan 23 · at Rīgas FS (A)0-1
- Jan 19 · at SC Heerenveen (A)2-0
- Jan 14 · at AZ (A)0-2
- Jan 11 · v RKC Waalwijk (H)2-1
Feyenoord
LossWinDrawWinLoss
- Jan 29 · at LOSC Lille (A)1-6
- Jan 22 · v FC Bayern München (H)3-0
- Jan 18 · at Willem II (A)1-1
- Jan 15 · at Rijnsburgse Boys (A)4-1
- Jan 12 · v FC Utrecht (H)1-2
| Last 10 games | Ajax | Feyenoord |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-0-2 | 2-1-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 80% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.