3rd Division, Group 4 (Norway) · Mon, Oct 19 · 16:00 · Åkra vs Stabæk Fotball II
Likeliest: Stabæk Fotball II win · 51%
A 25% draw. The market says 18%.
7 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Åkra24%18%+6
OursMarket
Draw25%18%+7
OursMarket
Stabæk Fotball II51%64%−14
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 60% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 49% | 36% | +14 |
| Double chance X2 | 76% | 82% | −6 |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | 82% | −7 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 32% | 21% | +11 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Åkra
LossDrawLossLossLoss
- Oct 12 · at Haugesund II (A)0-2
- Oct 3 · v FK Mandalskameratene (H)0-4
- Sep 26 · v Madla (H)0-6
- Sep 19 · at Hinna (A)2-2
- Sep 14 · v Odds BK II (H)1-2
Stabæk Fotball II
WinDrawLossWinWin
- Oct 11 · at FK Mandalskameratene (A)1-0
- Oct 4 · v Haugesund II (H)4-1
- Sep 27 · v Flekkerøy (H)1-2
- Sep 21 · at Odds BK II (A)1-1
- Sep 13 · v Vindbjart (H)3-1
| Last 10 games | Åkra | Stabæk Fotball II |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-1-8 | 5-2-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.1 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded a game | 3.4 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 90% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 0-0-6 | 1-2-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.