FIFA Intercontinental Cup (World) · Wed, Aug 26 · 18:00 · Al-Ahli vs Auckland FC
Likeliest: Al-Ahli win · 40%
We make it 48% for both teams to score. The market says 31%.
17 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Al-Ahli40%73%−33
OursMarket
Draw27%17%+10
OursMarket
Auckland FC33%11%+22
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 48% | 31% | +17 |
| Double chance 1X | 67% | 89% | −22 |
| Double chance X2 | 60% | 27% | +33 |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | 83% | −10 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 55% | 87% | −33 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Al-Ahli
WinWinWin
- Aug 22 · v Abha (H)4-0
- Aug 17 · at Al Anwar (A)2-1
- Aug 13 · at Al-Diraiyah Club (A)1-0
Auckland FC
No recent results tracked.