Premier League (Egypt) · Sun, Aug 23 · 17:00 · Al Ahly FC vs ENPPI
Likeliest: Al Ahly FC win · 50%
We make it 59% for both teams to score. The market says 39%.
19 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Al Ahly FC50%66%−17
OursMarket
Draw24%22%+1
OursMarket
ENPPI27%12%+15
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 47% | +6 |
| Both teams score | 59% | 39% | +19 |
| Double chance 1X | 73% | 88% | −15 |
| Double chance X2 | 50% | 34% | +17 |
| Double chance 12 | 77% | 78% | −1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 65% | 85% | −20 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Al Ahly FC
WinLossWinWinWin
- May 20 · at Al Masry (A)2-0
- May 5 · v ENPPI (H)3-0
- May 1 · at Zamalek (A)3-0
- Apr 27 · at Pyramids FC (A)0-3
- Apr 11 · v Smouha (H)2-1
ENPPI
DrawDrawDrawLossLoss
- May 5 · at Al Ahly (A)0-3
- May 1 · at Pyramids FC (A)2-3
- Apr 27 · at Zamalek (A)0-0
- Apr 22 · at Al Masry (A)2-2
- Apr 11 · v Ceramica Cleopatra (H)1-1
| Last 10 games | Al Ahly FC | ENPPI |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-1-4 | 4-3-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 7-2-1 | 2-5-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.