Stars League (Qatar) · Sat, Aug 22 · 14:15 · Al Duhail vs Al-Sailiya
Likeliest: Al Duhail win · 57%
We make it 46% for under 2.5 goals. The market says 37%.
9 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Al Duhail57%67%−10
OursMarket
Draw23%19%+4
OursMarket
Al-Sailiya20%14%+6
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 63% | −9 |
| Both teams score | 56% | 54% | +2 |
| Double chance 1X | 80% | 86% | −6 |
| Double chance X2 | 43% | 33% | +10 |
| Double chance 12 | 77% | 81% | −4 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 74% | 83% | −9 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Al Duhail
WinWinWinLossWin
- Apr 27 · at Qatar SC (A)2-1
- Apr 8 · at Al-Ahli Doha (A)1-2
- Apr 4 · v Al Gharafa (H)3-2
- Mar 17 · at Al Shamal SC (A)3-1
- Mar 12 · at Al Sailiya (A)4-0
Al-Sailiya
No recent results tracked.
| Last 10 games | Al Duhail | Al-Sailiya |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-2-4 | — |
| Goals scored a game | 1.9 | — |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.6 | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | — |
| Both teams scored | 90% | — |
| Clean sheets | 10% | — |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-4-2 | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.