Pro League (Saudi Arabia) · Fri, Oct 23 · 15:30 · Al-Ittihad vs Al-Diraiyah Club
Likeliest: Al-Ittihad win · 49%
Likely score: 1–0
A tight one: we make it 49% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Al-Ittihad49%——
OursMarket
Draw26%——
OursMarket
Al-Diraiyah Club25%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 58% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 76% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 51% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 67% | — | — |
| Expected goals | 1.6 | 1.1 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Al-Ittihad
WinWinDrawLossLoss
- Oct 13 · v Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai (H)1-2
- Oct 10 · at Al-Hilal (A)2-3
- Sep 14 · at Al Shamal SC (A)1-1
- Sep 11 · at Al-Faisaly (A)3-1
- Sep 8 · v Al-Fayha (H)2-1
Al-Diraiyah Club
LossWinDrawLossDraw
- Oct 17 · v Al-Taawoun (H)1-1
- Oct 9 · at Al-Nassr (A)0-3
- Sep 13 · v Abha (H)0-0
- Sep 9 · at Al-Fateh (A)2-1
- Sep 3 · v Al-Qadsiah (H)0-2
| Last 10 games | Al-Ittihad | Al-Diraiyah Club |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 6-2-2 | 3-3-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.8 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-1-1 | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.