Presidents Cup (UAE) · Thu, Oct 22 · 13:00 · Al-Jazira vs Ajman
Likeliest: Al-Jazira win · 53%
Likely score: 1–0
A tight one: we make it 53% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Al-Jazira53%——
OursMarket
Draw26%——
OursMarket
Ajman21%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 57% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 79% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 47% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 72% | — | — |
| Expected goals | 1.7 | 1.0 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Al-Jazira
WinWinDrawWinDraw
- Oct 18 · at Al-Ittihad Kalba (A)2-2
- Oct 14 · v Arkadag FK (H)2-1
- Oct 9 · at Al-Sharjah (A)0-0
- Oct 2 · at Khor Fakkan (A)2-0
- Sep 20 · v Al-Wahda FC (H)1-0
Ajman
LossWinWinWinLoss
- Oct 18 · v Al-Sharjah (H)1-3
- Oct 9 · v Baniyas (H)1-0
- Oct 2 · at Al-Ain (A)3-2
- Sep 19 · v Al-Sharjah (H)3-2
- Sep 11 · v Al-Ittihad Kalba (H)2-3
| Last 10 games | Al-Jazira | Ajman |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 6-4-0 | 6-1-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.6 | 2.1 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.5 | 2.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 90% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 60% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-1-1 | 6-0-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.