King's Cup (Saudi Arabia) · Mon, Aug 17 · 18:00 · Al-Raed vs Al-Hilal
Likeliest: Al-Hilal win · 72%
We make it 45% for under 2.5 goals. The market says 26%.
19 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Al-Raed17%6%+11
OursMarket
Draw11%12%−1
OursMarket
Al-Hilal72%82%−11
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 74% | −19 |
| Both teams score | 66% | 51% | +16 |
| Double chance 1X | 29% | 18% | +11 |
| Double chance X2 | 83% | 94% | −11 |
| Double chance 12 | 89% | 88% | +1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 19% | 6% | +13 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Al-Raed
No recent results tracked.
Al-Hilal
Win
- Aug 14 · v Al-Faisaly (H)4-2