Stars League (Qatar) · Sat, Aug 22 · 16:30 · Al-Sadd vs Al-Ahli Doha
Likeliest: Al-Sadd win · 50%
We make it 47% for under 2.5 goals. The market says 29%.
17 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Al-Sadd50%70%−20
OursMarket
Draw24%17%+6
OursMarket
Al-Ahli Doha26%12%+14
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 71% | −17 |
| Both teams score | 56% | 58% | −2 |
| Double chance 1X | 74% | 88% | −14 |
| Double chance X2 | 50% | 30% | +20 |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | 83% | −6 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 66% | 85% | −19 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Al-Sadd
No recent results tracked.
Al-Ahli Doha
DrawWinWinLossWin
- Apr 27 · at Umm-Salal SC (A)3-1
- Apr 22 · at Al Nassr (A)1-5
- Apr 19 · v Al Hussein (H)3-1
- Apr 8 · v Al Duhail (H)2-1
- Apr 3 · v Al Sailiya (H)2-2
| Last 10 games | Al-Sadd | Al-Ahli Doha |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | — | 4-3-3 |
| Goals scored a game | — | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | — | 1.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | — | 90% |
| Both teams scored | — | 100% |
| Clean sheets | — | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 3-2-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.