Stars League (Qatar) · Fri, Oct 23 · 16:45 · Al-Sailiya vs Al-Rayyan
Likeliest: Al-Rayyan win · 74%
Likely score: 0–2
A 74% away win. The market says 68%.
6 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Al-Sailiya9%14%−4
OursMarket
Draw16%18%−2
OursMarket
Al-Rayyan74%68%+6
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | 66% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 65% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 26% | 32% | −6 |
| Double chance X2 | 91% | 86% | +4 |
| Double chance 12 | 84% | 82% | +2 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 11% | 17% | −6 |
| Expected goals | 1.0 | 2.6 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Al-Sailiya
LossLossLossLossDraw
- Oct 17 · v Qatar SC (H)2-2
- Oct 10 · at Al-Ahli Doha (A)0-5
- Sep 10 · v Al-Sadd (H)3-6
- Sep 3 · v Al-Arabi SC (H)0-2
- Aug 29 · at Al-Shahaniya (A)2-3
Al-Rayyan
WinWinWinLossDraw
- Oct 18 · at Al-Gharafa (A)0-0
- Oct 14 · at Al-Taawoun (A)1-2
- Oct 9 · at Qatar SC (A)3-0
- Sep 16 · v Al Faisaly SC (H)4-3
- Sep 11 · v Al-Ahli Doha (H)3-0
| Last 10 games | Al-Sailiya | Al-Rayyan |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 0-1-5 | 5-2-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.2 | 1.9 |
| Goals conceded a game | 3.3 | 0.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 63% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 50% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.