Stars League (Qatar) · Sat, Oct 17 · 14:30 · Al-Sailiya vs Qatar SC
Likeliest: Qatar SC win · 51%
Likely score: 1–2
We make it 63% for both teams to score. The market says 59%.
4 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Al-Sailiya23%26%−4
OursMarket
Draw27%25%+1
OursMarket
Qatar SC51%48%+2
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 59% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 63% | 59% | +4 |
| Double chance 1X | 49% | 52% | −2 |
| Double chance X2 | 77% | 74% | +4 |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | 75% | −1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 31% | 35% | −4 |
| Expected goals | 1.2 | 1.7 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Al-Sailiya
LossLossLossLossLoss
- Oct 10 · at Al-Ahli Doha (A)0-5
- Sep 10 · v Al-Sadd (H)3-6
- Sep 3 · v Al-Arabi SC (H)0-2
- Aug 29 · at Al-Shahaniya (A)2-3
- Aug 22 · at Al Duhail (A)0-2
Qatar SC
DrawLossLossDrawLoss
- Oct 9 · v Al-Rayyan (H)0-3
- Sep 12 · at Al-Arabi SC (A)0-0
- Sep 3 · at Al-Ahli Doha (A)0-1
- Aug 28 · v Al-Sadd (H)2-6
- Aug 20 · at Al-Wakrah (A)2-2
| Last 10 games | Al-Sailiya | Qatar SC |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 0-0-5 | 1-4-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded a game | 3.6 | 1.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 3-4-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.