Stars League (Qatar) · Thu, Oct 22 · 14:30 · Al-Shahaniya vs Al-Sadd
Likeliest: Al-Sadd win · 76%
Likely score: 1–3
A 76% away win. The market says 70%.
6 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Al-Shahaniya9%13%−4
OursMarket
Draw15%17%−2
OursMarket
Al-Sadd76%70%+6
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 89% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71% | 72% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 51% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 69% | 65% | +5 |
| Double chance 1X | 24% | 30% | −6 |
| Double chance X2 | 91% | 87% | +4 |
| Double chance 12 | 85% | 83% | +2 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 11% | 16% | −5 |
| Expected goals | 1.2 | 3.2 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Al-Shahaniya
WinLossDrawWinLoss
- Oct 16 · v Al-Arabi SC (H)0-6
- Oct 10 · v Lusail SC (H)1-0
- Sep 12 · at Al Duhail (A)1-1
- Sep 4 · at Al Shamal SC (A)2-4
- Aug 29 · v Al-Sailiya (H)3-2
Al-Sadd
WinLossLossLossLoss
- Oct 18 · v Al Duhail (H)2-3
- Oct 13 · v Al-Hilal (H)0-2
- Oct 9 · v Al-Arabi SC (H)2-3
- Sep 14 · at Esteghlal FC (A)0-3
- Sep 10 · at Al-Sailiya (A)6-3
| Last 10 games | Al-Shahaniya | Al-Sadd |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-1-3 | 4-0-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.3 | 2.9 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.5 | 2.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 88% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 75% |
| Clean sheets | 17% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.