UAE Pro League (UAE) · Fri, Aug 14 · 16:45 · Al-Wahda FC vs Ajman
Likeliest: Al-Wahda FC win · 45%
A 28% away win. The market says 23%.
6 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Al-Wahda FC45%53%−8
OursMarket
Draw26%24%+2
OursMarket
Ajman28%23%+6
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 56% | −2 |
| Both teams score | 56% | 57% | 0 |
| Double chance 1X | 72% | 77% | −6 |
| Double chance X2 | 55% | 47% | +8 |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | 76% | −2 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 61% | 70% | −9 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Al-Wahda FC
No recent results tracked.
Ajman
LossWinDrawWinDraw
- May 15 · v Al Nasr (H)2-2
- May 10 · at Dibba Al Fujairah (A)2-0
- May 5 · v Al Jazira (H)1-1
- Apr 24 · at Al Dhafra (A)1-0
- Apr 11 · v Al Wasl (H)1-3
| Last 10 games | Al-Wahda FC | Ajman |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | — | 3-3-4 |
| Goals scored a game | — | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded a game | — | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | — | 30% |
| Both teams scored | — | 50% |
| Clean sheets | — | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 4-1-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.