UAE Pro League (UAE) · Sat, Aug 15 · 16:45 · Al Wasl vs United
Likeliest: Al Wasl win · 43%
A 31% away win. The market says 15%.
17 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Al Wasl43%66%−23
OursMarket
Draw26%20%+7
OursMarket
United31%15%+17
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 65% | −7 |
| Both teams score | 60% | 56% | +4 |
| Double chance 1X | 69% | 85% | −17 |
| Double chance X2 | 57% | 34% | +23 |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | 80% | −7 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 58% | 82% | −24 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Al Wasl
LossWinWinWinWin
- May 15 · v Kalba (H)2-1
- May 11 · at Al Jazira (A)2-1
- May 6 · at Al Wahda (A)3-2
- Apr 24 · v Dibba Al Fujairah (H)4-2
- Apr 19 · v Al Nassr (H)0-4
United
No recent results tracked.
| Last 10 games | Al Wasl | United |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 6-0-4 | — |
| Goals scored a game | 1.8 | — |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.7 | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | — |
| Both teams scored | 60% | — |
| Clean sheets | 10% | — |
| Last 10 at this venue | 7-1-2 | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.