J2 League (Japan) · Sun, Oct 25 · 05:00 · Albirex Niigata vs Vegalta Sendai
Likeliest: Vegalta Sendai win · 52%
Likely score: 0–1
A tight one: we make it 52% for the away win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Albirex Niigata21%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
Vegalta Sendai52%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 52% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 48% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 79% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 29% | — | — |
| Expected goals | 0.8 | 1.5 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Albirex Niigata
WinDrawWinDrawDraw
- Oct 17 · at Oita Trinita (A)0-0
- Oct 11 · at Shonan Bellmare (A)1-1
- Oct 3 · v Tokushima Vortis (H)2-1
- Sep 26 · at Blaublitz Akita (A)0-0
- Sep 19 · v Jubilo Iwata (H)2-1
Vegalta Sendai
WinWinWinWinDraw
- Oct 17 · v Tokushima Vortis (H)0-0
- Oct 11 · at Montedio Yamagata (A)1-0
- Oct 4 · v Jubilo Iwata (H)2-1
- Sep 26 · at Iwaki FC (A)2-0
- Sep 20 · at Tochigi City FC (A)3-1
| Last 10 games | Albirex Niigata | Vegalta Sendai |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 6-3-1 | 7-3-0 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.1 | 0.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 50% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-4-1 | 5-0-1 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.