3rd Division, Group 5 (Norway) · Sat, Oct 10 · 13:00 · Alta IF vs Skjervøy
Likeliest: Alta IF win · 52%
A tight one: we make it 52% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Alta IF52%——
OursMarket
Draw24%——
OursMarket
Skjervøy23%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 53% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 77% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 48% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 69% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Alta IF
WinLossWinWinWin
- Oct 3 · at IL Ulfstind (A)2-0
- Sep 27 · v Lillestrøm SK 2 (H)6-2
- Sep 21 · v Strømsgodset II (H)2-0
- Sep 16 · v Tromsø IL (H)1-2
- Sep 12 · at Finnsnes IL (A)2-1
Skjervøy
DrawLossLossLossWin
- Oct 4 · v FK Fauske/Sprint (H)3-0
- Sep 26 · at Finnsnes IL (A)0-2
- Sep 22 · at Skjetten (A)1-6
- Sep 19 · v Skedsmo (H)1-2
- Sep 13 · at Bossekop (A)1-1
| Last 10 games | Alta IF | Skjervøy |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 7-1-2 | 4-1-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.7 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.0 | 2.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 80% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-1-1 | 1-1-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.