Persian Gulf Pro League (Iran) · Sun, Sep 6 · 15:30 · Aluminium Arak vs Esteghlal FC
Likeliest: Aluminium Arak win · 44%
A tight one: we make it 44% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Aluminium Arak44%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
Esteghlal FC29%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 57% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 72% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 56% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 61% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Aluminium Arak
WinDrawWinDrawWin
- Sep 1 · at Gol Gohar Sirjan (A)2-0
- Aug 28 · v Kheybar Khorramabad FC (H)2-2
- Aug 23 · at Shams Azar Qazvin (A)2-1
- Aug 18 · v Chador Malu Yazd (H)0-0
- Aug 14 · at Esteghlal Khuzestan (A)2-0
Esteghlal FC
WinWinWinDrawDraw
- Sep 2 · v Persepolis FC (H)1-1
- Aug 28 · at Foolad Khuzestan (A)0-0
- Aug 23 · v Sepahan S.C. (H)2-0
- Aug 18 · at Nassaji Mazandaran FC (A)1-0
- Aug 14 · v Mes Shahr Babak (H)4-0
| Last 10 games | Aluminium Arak | Esteghlal FC |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-5-1 | 6-2-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.1 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 50% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 1-5-4 | 4-4-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.