Persian Gulf Pro League (Iran) · Fri, Aug 28 · 15:45 · Aluminium Arak vs Kheybar Khorramabad FC

    Likeliest: Aluminium Arak win · 50%

    A tight one: we make it 50% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.

    Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.

    Who wins
    Aluminium Arak50%——
    OursMarket
    Draw25%——
    OursMarket
    Kheybar Khorramabad FC25%——
    OursMarket

    Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.

    Goalsours · market · gap
    MarketOursMarketGap
    Over 2.5 goals38%——
    Both teams score56%——
    Double chance 1X75%——
    Double chance X250%——
    Double chance 1275%——
    Draw no bet (home)67%——

    Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.

    Form
    Aluminium Arak
    DrawDrawWinDrawWin
    • Aug 23 · at Shams Azar Qazvin (A)2-1
    • Aug 18 · v Chador Malu Yazd (H)0-0
    • Aug 14 · at Esteghlal Khuzestan (A)2-0
    • Feb 20 · v Paykan (H)1-1
    • Feb 13 · at Shams Azar Qazvin (A)0-0
    Kheybar Khorramabad FC
    DrawDrawLoss
    • Aug 24 · v Paykan (H)2-3
    • Aug 19 · at Mes Shahr Babak (A)1-1
    • Aug 14 · v Fajr Sepasi FC (H)1-1
    Last 10 gamesAluminium ArakKheybar Khorramabad FC
    Won-drawn-lost3-5-2—
    Goals scored a game1.0—
    Goals conceded a game0.8—
    Over 2.5 goals30%—
    Both teams scored50%—
    Clean sheets40%—
    Last 10 at this venue2-4-4—

    Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.

    Every match we have priced today