Ligue 1 (France) · Sun, May 10 · 19:00 · Angers SCO vs Strasbourg
Likeliest: Strasbourg win · 49%
A 49% away win. The market says 38%.
11 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Angers SCO24%34%−10
OursMarket
Draw27%28%−1
OursMarket
Strasbourg49%38%+11
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 50% | +6 |
| Both teams score | 43% | 55% | −11 |
| Double chance 1X | 51% | 62% | −11 |
| Double chance X2 | 76% | 66% | +10 |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | 72% | +1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 33% | 47% | −14 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Angers SCO
DrawLossDrawLossLoss
- May 3 · at Auxerre (A)1-3
- Apr 25 · v Paris Saint Germain (H)0-3
- Apr 18 · v Le Havre (H)1-1
- Apr 11 · at Rennes (A)1-2
- Apr 5 · v Olympique Lyonnais (H)0-0
Strasbourg
LossWinLossLossLoss
- May 7 · v Rayo Vallecano (H)0-1
- May 3 · v Toulouse (H)1-2
- Apr 30 · at Rayo Vallecano (A)0-1
- Apr 26 · at Lorient (A)3-2
- Apr 22 · v Nice (H)0-2
| Last 10 games | Angers SCO | Strasbourg |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-2-7 | 4-0-6 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.5 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.9 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-3-4 | 5-2-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.