Ligue 1 (France) · Sun, Mar 2 · 16:15 · Angers SCO vs Toulouse
Likeliest: Angers SCO win · 41%
A tight one: we make it 41% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Angers SCO41%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
Toulouse32%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 68% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 59% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 56% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Angers SCO
DrawWinLossWinDraw
- Feb 22 · at Saint-Étienne (A)3-3
- Feb 16 · at Reims (A)1-0
- Feb 9 · v Olympique Marseille (H)0-2
- Feb 5 · at Strasbourg (A)3-1
- Feb 2 · v Le Havre (H)1-1
Toulouse
DrawLossDrawLossWin
- Feb 23 · at Le Havre (A)4-1
- Feb 15 · v Paris Saint Germain (H)0-1
- Feb 9 · at Auxerre (A)2-2
- Feb 5 · v Guingamp (H)0-2
- Feb 2 · v Nice (H)1-1
| Last 10 games | Angers SCO | Toulouse |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 6-2-2 | 3-3-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.