K League 2 (South Korea) · Sun, Sep 20 · 07:30 · Ansan Greeners FC vs Cheongju FC
Likeliest: Cheongju FC win · 49%
A tight one: we make it 49% for the away win. The market says 48%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Ansan Greeners FC22%25%−3
OursMarket
Draw29%27%+2
OursMarket
Cheongju FC49%48%+1
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 48% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 51% | 50% | +1 |
| Double chance 1X | 51% | 52% | −1 |
| Double chance X2 | 78% | 75% | +3 |
| Double chance 12 | 71% | 73% | −2 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 31% | 34% | −4 |
| Expected goals | 1.2 | 1.7 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Ansan Greeners FC
LossLossLossWinLoss
- Sep 12 · v Hwaseong FC (H)0-2
- Sep 5 · at Busan I Park (A)1-0
- Aug 28 · v Daegu FC (H)1-2
- Aug 22 · v Seongnam FC (H)1-2
- Aug 16 · at Seoul E-Land FC (A)1-3
Cheongju FC
WinDrawLossLossWin
- Sep 12 · at Chungnam Asan FC (A)1-0
- Sep 4 · v Seoul E-Land FC (H)0-2
- Aug 29 · at Hwaseong FC (A)1-2
- Aug 23 · v Gyeongnam FC (H)1-1
- Aug 15 · v Jeonnam Dragons (H)2-1
| Last 10 games | Ansan Greeners FC | Cheongju FC |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-1-6 | 3-3-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 1-0-6 | 2-2-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.