Premier League (England) · Wed, Jan 15 · 20:00 · Arsenal vs Tottenham Hotspur
Likeliest: Arsenal win · 51%
A tight one: we make it 51% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Arsenal51%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
Tottenham Hotspur22%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 78% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 49% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 70% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Arsenal
WinDrawLoss
- Jan 7 · v Newcastle United (H)0-2
- Jan 4 · at Brighton & Hove Albion (A)1-1
- Jan 1 · at Brentford (A)3-1
Tottenham Hotspur
LossWin
- Jan 8 · v Liverpool (H)1-0
- Jan 4 · v Newcastle United (H)1-2