Premier League (England) · Sat, Feb 22 · 15:00 · Arsenal vs West Ham United
Likeliest: Arsenal win · 63%
A tight one: we make it 63% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Arsenal63%——
OursMarket
Draw20%——
OursMarket
West Ham United17%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 83% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 37% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 80% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 79% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Arsenal
WinWinWinLossWin
- Feb 15 · at Leicester City (A)2-0
- Feb 5 · at Newcastle United (A)0-2
- Feb 2 · v Manchester City (H)5-1
- Jan 29 · at Girona (A)2-1
- Jan 25 · at Wolverhampton Wanderers (A)1-0
West Ham United
WinLossDrawLossLoss
- Feb 15 · v Brentford (H)0-1
- Feb 3 · at Chelsea (A)1-2
- Jan 26 · at Aston Villa (A)1-1
- Jan 18 · v Crystal Palace (H)0-2
- Jan 14 · v Fulham (H)3-2
| Last 10 games | Arsenal | West Ham United |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 6-2-2 | 1-1-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 57% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 71% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-1-1 | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.