Niké Liga (Slovakia) · Sun, Aug 23 · 15:00 · AS Trenčín vs FC Spartak Trnava
Likeliest: AS Trenčín win · 51%
We make it 48% for under 2.5 goals. The market says 42%.
5 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
AS Trenčín51%23%+28
OursMarket
Draw24%24%0
OursMarket
FC Spartak Trnava25%53%−28
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 58% | −5 |
| Both teams score | 54% | 58% | −5 |
| Double chance 1X | 75% | 47% | +28 |
| Double chance X2 | 49% | 77% | −28 |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | 76% | 0 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 67% | 31% | +37 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
AS Trenčín
DrawDrawLoss
- Aug 15 · at FK Železiarne Podbrezová (A)1-2
- Aug 1 · at FC Košice (A)3-3
- Jul 25 · v KFC Komárno (H)1-1
FC Spartak Trnava
DrawDrawWinWinWin
- Aug 16 · v MFK Zemplín Michalovce (H)2-0
- Aug 8 · v Dukla Banská Bystrica (H)3-0
- Aug 2 · at KFC Komárno (A)2-1
- Jul 28 · at FC CSKA 1948 Sofia (A)0-0
- Jul 25 · v MFK Skalica (H)1-1
| Last 10 games | AS Trenčín | FC Spartak Trnava |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | — | 3-3-0 |
| Goals scored a game | — | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | — | 0.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | — | 33% |
| Both teams scored | — | 33% |
| Clean sheets | — | 67% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.