Niké Liga (Slovakia) · Sat, Aug 29 · 16:00 · AS Trenčín vs MFK Ružomberok
Likeliest: MFK Ružomberok win · 40%
We make it 49% for under 2.5 goals. The market says 41%.
9 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
AS Trenčín35%41%−5
OursMarket
Draw25%25%0
OursMarket
MFK Ružomberok40%34%+5
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 59% | −9 |
| Both teams score | 53% | 63% | −10 |
| Double chance 1X | 61% | 66% | −5 |
| Double chance X2 | 65% | 59% | +5 |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | 75% | 0 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 47% | 54% | −7 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
AS Trenčín
DrawDrawLossLoss
- Aug 23 · v FC Spartak Trnava (H)0-4
- Aug 15 · at FK Železiarne Podbrezová (A)1-2
- Aug 1 · at FC Košice (A)3-3
- Jul 25 · v KFC Komárno (H)1-1
MFK Ružomberok
DrawLossLossLossLoss
- Aug 22 · v Dukla Banská Bystrica (H)0-1
- Aug 15 · at ŠK Slovan Bratislava (A)0-5
- Aug 8 · v FK Železiarne Podbrezová (H)1-4
- Aug 1 · at MFK Skalica (A)1-2
- Jul 26 · v DAC 1904 (H)1-1
| Last 10 games | AS Trenčín | MFK Ružomberok |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | — | 0-1-4 |
| Goals scored a game | — | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | — | 2.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | — | 60% |
| Both teams scored | — | 60% |
| Clean sheets | — | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.