CAF Champions League (Africa) · Sun, Oct 25 · 16:00 · ASEC Mimosas vs MAS de Fès
Likeliest: ASEC Mimosas win · 54%
Likely score: 1–0
A tight one: we make it 54% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
ASEC Mimosas54%——
OursMarket
Draw29%——
OursMarket
MAS de Fès17%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 64% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 17% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 43% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 83% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 46% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 71% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 76% | — | — |
| Expected goals | 1.4 | 0.7 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
ASEC Mimosas
DrawLossDrawWinDraw
- Oct 18 · at MAS de Fès (A)1-1
- Sep 13 · v ASC Kara (H)2-1
- Sep 6 · at ASC Kara (A)1-1
- May 24 · v Olympique Sport d'Abobo (H)0-1
- May 17 · at Zoman (A)1-1
MAS de Fès
WinWinDrawLossDraw
- Oct 18 · v ASEC Mimosas (H)1-1
- Oct 14 · at Ittihad Tanger (A)1-2
- Oct 8 · v Raja Club Athletic (H)0-0
- Oct 3 · at Hassania d'Agadir (A)2-1
- Sep 27 · v Renaissance Zemamra (H)2-1
| Last 10 games | ASEC Mimosas | MAS de Fès |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-3-2 | 5-4-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.6 | 0.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 10% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 8-1-1 | 3-3-1 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.