3rd Division, Group 1 (Norway) · Sat, Oct 24 · 12:00 · Asker vs FK Union Carl Berner
Likeliest: Asker win · 53%
A tight one: we make it 53% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Asker53%——
OursMarket
Draw24%——
OursMarket
FK Union Carl Berner24%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 54% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 77% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 48% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 69% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Asker
WinLossWinWinWin
- Oct 17 · at Konnerud IL (A)3-2
- Oct 14 · v Frigg (H)3-2
- Oct 10 · v Bærum SK (H)4-2
- Oct 3 · at Grei (A)3-4
- Sep 26 · v Nordstrand (H)1-0
FK Union Carl Berner
WinDrawWinLossWin
- Oct 17 · v Vålerenga IF II (H)4-0
- Oct 10 · at Ready (A)0-4
- Oct 3 · v Lokomotiv Oslo (H)4-1
- Sep 29 · v KFUM Oslo II (H)1-1
- Sep 26 · v Frigg (H)6-2
| Last 10 games | Asker | FK Union Carl Berner |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 9-0-1 | 5-2-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 3.9 | 2.1 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.1 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 90% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 90% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 6-0-0 | 2-0-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.