3rd Division, Group 1 (Norway) · Mon, Sep 14 · 17:00 · Asker vs KFUM Oslo II
Likeliest: Asker win · 47%
A 26% away win. The market says 9%.
16 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Asker47%76%−29
OursMarket
Draw28%15%+13
OursMarket
KFUM Oslo II26%9%+16
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 79% | −31 |
| Both teams score | 49% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 75% | 91% | −16 |
| Double chance X2 | 53% | 24% | +29 |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | 85% | −13 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 65% | 89% | −24 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Asker
WinWinWinWinWin
- Sep 5 · at Ullern (A)6-2
- Aug 15 · at Heming (A)5-2
- Aug 8 · v Vålerenga IF II (H)5-4
- Aug 2 · v Ready (H)3-0
- Jul 27 · at FK Union Carl Berner (A)2-1
KFUM Oslo II
LossWinLossWinLoss
- Sep 7 · v Lokomotiv Oslo (H)0-3
- Aug 17 · v Nordstrand (H)7-2
- Aug 10 · at Bærum SK (A)1-5
- Aug 3 · v Grei (H)5-0
- Jul 27 · at Lokomotiv Oslo (A)0-2
| Last 10 games | Asker | KFUM Oslo II |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-0-0 | 2-0-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 4.2 | 2.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.8 | 2.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 80% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.