3rd Division, Group 3 (Norway) · Sat, Oct 10 · 12:00 · Askøy FK vs Fana
Likeliest: Fana win · 37%
A 27% draw. The market says 22%.
5 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Askøy FK36%44%−8
OursMarket
Draw27%22%+5
OursMarket
Fana37%34%+3
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 60% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 63% | 66% | −3 |
| Double chance X2 | 64% | 56% | +8 |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | 78% | −5 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 50% | 57% | −7 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Askøy FK
LossDrawWinLossDraw
- Oct 3 · at Os TF (A)0-0
- Sep 26 · v SK Brann II (H)1-4
- Sep 19 · at Austevoll (A)3-1
- Sep 12 · v Stord (H)3-3
- Sep 5 · at Djerv 1919 (A)2-3
Fana
WinWinWinLossWin
- Oct 5 · v Asane Fotball 2 (H)5-2
- Sep 26 · at Vard Haugesund (A)2-3
- Sep 19 · at Førde (A)3-0
- Sep 12 · v Os TF (H)3-2
- Sep 5 · at Stord (A)5-3
| Last 10 games | Askøy FK | Fana |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-3-2 | 7-1-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.9 | 3.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-2-1 | 3-0-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.