Premier League (England) · Sun, Jan 26 · 16:30 · Aston Villa vs West Ham United
Likeliest: Aston Villa win · 59%
A tight one: we make it 59% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Aston Villa59%——
OursMarket
Draw22%——
OursMarket
West Ham United19%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 81% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 41% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 77% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 76% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Aston Villa
WinWinWinDrawLoss
- Jan 21 · at Monaco (A)0-1
- Jan 18 · at Arsenal (A)2-2
- Jan 15 · at Everton (A)1-0
- Jan 10 · v West Ham United (H)2-1
- Jan 4 · v Leicester City (H)2-1
West Ham United
LossLossWinLoss
- Jan 18 · v Crystal Palace (H)0-2
- Jan 14 · v Fulham (H)3-2
- Jan 10 · at Aston Villa (A)1-2
- Jan 4 · at Manchester City (A)1-4
| Last 10 games | Aston Villa | West Ham United |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-1-1 | — |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | — |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.0 | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | — |
| Both teams scored | 60% | — |
| Clean sheets | 20% | — |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.