Coppa Italia (Italy) · Tue, Feb 4 · 20:00 · Atalanta vs Bologna
Likeliest: Atalanta win · 46%
A tight one: we make it 46% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Atalanta46%——
OursMarket
Draw28%——
OursMarket
Bologna27%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 73% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 54% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 63% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Atalanta
LossWinWinDrawDraw
- Feb 1 · v Torino (H)1-1
- Jan 29 · at FC Barcelona (A)2-2
- Jan 25 · at Como (A)2-1
- Jan 21 · v Sturm Graz (H)5-0
- Jan 18 · v Napoli (H)2-3
Bologna
WinWinDrawDrawWin
- Feb 1 · v Como (H)2-0
- Jan 29 · at Sporting CP (A)1-1
- Jan 25 · at Empoli (A)1-1
- Jan 21 · v Borussia Dortmund (H)2-1
- Jan 18 · v Monza (H)3-1
| Last 10 games | Atalanta | Bologna |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-4-1 | 3-4-0 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 57% |
| Both teams scored | 71% | 86% |
| Clean sheets | 29% | 14% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.