Serie A (Italy) · Sat, Feb 15 · 14:00 · Atalanta vs Cagliari
Likeliest: Atalanta win · 49%
A tight one: we make it 49% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Atalanta49%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
Cagliari24%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 76% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 51% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 67% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Atalanta
DrawDrawLossWinLoss
- Feb 12 · at Club Brugge (A)1-2
- Feb 8 · at Hellas Verona (A)5-0
- Feb 4 · v Bologna (H)0-1
- Feb 1 · v Torino (H)1-1
- Jan 29 · at FC Barcelona (A)2-2
Cagliari
DrawWinLossLossWin
- Feb 9 · v Parma (H)2-1
- Feb 3 · v Lazio (H)1-2
- Jan 24 · at Torino (A)0-2
- Jan 19 · v Lecce (H)4-1
- Jan 11 · at Milan (A)1-1
| Last 10 games | Atalanta | Cagliari |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-4-3 | 3-1-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.9 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 83% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 1-2-2 | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.