Serie A (Italy) · Sat, Jan 18 · 19:45 · Atalanta vs Napoli
Likeliest: Atalanta win · 49%
A tight one: we make it 49% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Atalanta49%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
Napoli26%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 74% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 51% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 65% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Atalanta
DrawDraw
- Jan 14 · v Juventus (H)1-1
- Jan 11 · at Udinese (A)0-0
Napoli
WinWin
- Jan 12 · v Hellas Verona (H)2-0
- Jan 4 · at Fiorentina (A)3-0