Serie A (Italy) · Sun, Nov 9 · 11:30 · Atalanta vs Sassuolo
Likeliest: Atalanta win · 39%
A tight one: we make it 39% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Atalanta39%——
OursMarket
Draw30%——
OursMarket
Sassuolo32%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 69% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 61% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 71% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 55% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Atalanta
DrawDrawDrawLossWin
- Nov 5 · at Olympique Marseille (A)1-0
- Nov 1 · at Udinese (A)0-1
- Oct 28 · v Milan (H)1-1
- Oct 25 · at Cremonese (A)1-1
- Oct 22 · v Slavia Praha (H)0-0
Sassuolo
WinDrawLossWinLoss
- Nov 3 · v Genoa (H)1-2
- Oct 30 · at Cagliari (A)2-1
- Oct 26 · v Roma (H)0-1
- Oct 18 · at Lecce (A)0-0
- Oct 3 · at Hellas Verona (A)1-0
| Last 10 games | Atalanta | Sassuolo |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-6-1 | 4-1-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.6 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-6-1 | 4-2-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.