Serie A (Italy) · Sat, Feb 1 · 17:00 · Atalanta vs Torino
Likeliest: Atalanta win · 51%
A tight one: we make it 51% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Atalanta51%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
Torino22%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 78% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 49% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 70% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Atalanta
DrawLossWinWinDraw
- Jan 29 · at FC Barcelona (A)2-2
- Jan 25 · at Como (A)2-1
- Jan 21 · v Sturm Graz (H)5-0
- Jan 18 · v Napoli (H)2-3
- Jan 14 · v Juventus (H)1-1
Torino
DrawDrawDrawWin
- Jan 24 · v Cagliari (H)2-0
- Jan 19 · at Fiorentina (A)1-1
- Jan 11 · v Juventus (H)1-1
- Jan 5 · v Parma (H)0-0
| Last 10 games | Atalanta | Torino |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-3-1 | — |
| Goals scored a game | 2.0 | — |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.2 | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | — |
| Both teams scored | 67% | — |
| Clean sheets | 33% | — |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.