Serie A (Italy) · Sat, Mar 1 · 14:00 · Atalanta vs Venezia
Likeliest: Atalanta win · 49%
A tight one: we make it 49% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Atalanta49%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
Venezia24%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 76% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 51% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 67% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Atalanta
WinLossDrawLossWin
- Feb 23 · at Empoli (A)5-0
- Feb 18 · v Club Brugge (H)1-3
- Feb 15 · v Cagliari (H)0-0
- Feb 12 · at Club Brugge (A)1-2
- Feb 8 · at Hellas Verona (A)5-0
Venezia
DrawLossLossLossDraw
- Feb 22 · v Lazio (H)0-0
- Feb 17 · at Genoa (A)0-2
- Feb 9 · v Roma (H)0-1
- Feb 1 · at Udinese (A)2-3
- Jan 27 · v Hellas Verona (H)1-1
| Last 10 games | Atalanta | Venezia |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-3-3 | 0-4-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 13% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 13% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 1-3-3 | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.