La Liga (Spain) · Sat, Feb 8 · 15:15 · Athletic Club vs Girona
Likeliest: Athletic Club win · 47%
A tight one: we make it 47% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Athletic Club47%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
Girona26%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 35% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 74% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 53% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 65% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Athletic Club
WinLossDrawWinDraw
- Feb 2 · at Real Betis (A)2-2
- Jan 30 · v Viktoria Plzeň (H)3-1
- Jan 26 · v Leganés (H)0-0
- Jan 22 · at Beşiktaş (A)1-4
- Jan 19 · at Celta de Vigo (A)2-1
Girona
LossLossLossLossWin
- Feb 3 · v Las Palmas (H)2-1
- Jan 29 · v Arsenal (H)1-2
- Jan 26 · at Rayo Vallecano (A)1-2
- Jan 22 · at Milan (A)0-1
- Jan 18 · v Sevilla (H)1-2
| Last 10 games | Athletic Club | Girona |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-2-2 | 2-0-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.7 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 83% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 83% | 67% |
| Clean sheets | 17% | 17% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.