La Liga (Spain) · Sun, Mar 9 · 17:30 · Athletic Club vs Mallorca
Likeliest: Athletic Club win · 50%
A tight one: we make it 50% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Athletic Club50%——
OursMarket
Draw26%——
OursMarket
Mallorca24%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 76% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 50% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 67% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Athletic Club
DrawWinWinLossLoss
- Mar 6 · at Roma (A)1-2
- Mar 1 · at Atlético Madrid (A)0-1
- Feb 25 · at Barcelona BA (A)2-1
- Feb 23 · v Real Valladolid (H)7-1
- Feb 16 · at Espanyol (A)1-1
Mallorca
LossDrawWinDrawDraw
- Mar 2 · v Deportivo Alavés (H)1-1
- Feb 24 · at Sevilla (A)1-1
- Feb 16 · v Las Palmas (H)3-1
- Feb 10 · v Osasuna (H)1-1
- Feb 1 · at Atlético Madrid (A)0-2
| Last 10 games | Athletic Club | Mallorca |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-3-3 | 1-3-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.3 | 1.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 38% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-1-1 | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.