Copa Del Rey (Spain) · Tue, Feb 4 · 20:30 · Atlético Madrid vs Getafe
Likeliest: Atlético Madrid win · 53%
A tight one: we make it 53% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Atlético Madrid53%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
Getafe21%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 79% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 47% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 71% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Atlético Madrid
LossWinDrawWinWin
- Feb 1 · v Mallorca (H)2-0
- Jan 29 · at Salzburg (A)4-1
- Jan 25 · v Villarreal (H)1-1
- Jan 21 · v Bayer 04 Leverkusen (H)2-1
- Jan 18 · at Leganés (A)0-1
Getafe
WinWinDrawWinDraw
- Feb 1 · v Sevilla (H)0-0
- Jan 26 · at Real Sociedad (A)3-0
- Jan 18 · v FC Barcelona (H)1-1
- Jan 15 · at Pontevedra (A)1-0
- Jan 12 · at Las Palmas (A)2-1
| Last 10 games | Atlético Madrid | Getafe |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 6-1-1 | 3-2-0 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.9 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 38% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 60% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.