La Liga (Spain) · Sat, Feb 1 · 17:30 · Atlético Madrid vs Mallorca
Likeliest: Atlético Madrid win · 65%
A tight one: we make it 65% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Atlético Madrid65%——
OursMarket
Draw20%——
OursMarket
Mallorca14%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 85% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 34% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 80% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 82% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Atlético Madrid
WinLossWinDrawWin
- Jan 29 · at Salzburg (A)4-1
- Jan 25 · v Villarreal (H)1-1
- Jan 21 · v Bayer 04 Leverkusen (H)2-1
- Jan 18 · at Leganés (A)0-1
- Jan 15 · at Elche (A)4-0
Mallorca
LossLossLoss
- Jan 25 · v Real Betis (H)0-1
- Jan 20 · at Villarreal (A)0-4
- Jan 3 · at Pontevedra (A)0-3
| Last 10 games | Atlético Madrid | Mallorca |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-1-1 | — |
| Goals scored a game | 1.9 | — |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.6 | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | — |
| Both teams scored | 43% | — |
| Clean sheets | 43% | — |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.