La Liga (Spain) · Sun, Jan 12 · 15:15 · Atlético Madrid vs Osasuna
Likeliest: Atlético Madrid win · 57%
A tight one: we make it 57% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Atlético Madrid57%——
OursMarket
Draw21%——
OursMarket
Osasuna21%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 78% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 42% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 78% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 73% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Atlético Madrid
Win
- Jan 4 · at Marbella (A)1-0
Osasuna
Win
- Jan 4 · at Tenerife (A)2-1