Campeonato de Reserva de Primera División (Argentina) · Thu, Oct 22 · 18:00 · Atlético Tucumán Reserve vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza Reserve
Likeliest: draw · 36%
Likely score: 0–0
A tight one: we make it 36% for the draw. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Atlético Tucumán Reserve33%——
OursMarket
Draw36%——
OursMarket
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza Reserve31%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 64% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 17% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 44% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 69% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 67% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 64% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 52% | — | — |
| Expected goals | 0.8 | 0.8 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Atlético Tucumán Reserve
LossWinDrawWinDraw
- Oct 15 · at Barracas Central Reserve (A)1-1
- Oct 8 · v Talleres de Córdoba Reserve (H)2-0
- Sep 29 · at Banfield Reserve (A)1-1
- Sep 22 · at Central Cordoba Reserve (A)1-0
- Sep 16 · v Rosario Central Reserve (H)0-1
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza Reserve
WinWinDrawDrawDraw
- Oct 15 · v Godoy Cruz Reserve (H)0-0
- Oct 7 · v Instituto AC Cordoba Reserves (H)1-1
- Oct 1 · at Barracas Central Reserve (A)0-0
- Sep 24 · at Independiente Rivadavia De Mendoza Reserve (A)1-0
- Sep 16 · v Talleres de Córdoba Reserve (H)1-0
| Last 10 games | Atlético Tucumán Reserve | Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza Reserve |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-3-4 | 5-3-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.2 | 0.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 20% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 50% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-1-2 | 4-1-1 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.