3rd Division, Group 3 (Norway) · Sat, Oct 10 · 12:30 · Austevoll vs Førde
Likeliest: Austevoll win · 46%
A tight one: we make it 46% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Austevoll46%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
Førde27%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 53% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 74% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 54% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 64% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Austevoll
DrawLossLossWinWin
- Oct 3 · at Sogndal IL II (A)3-2
- Sep 26 · v Gneist (H)1-0
- Sep 19 · v Askøy FK (H)1-3
- Sep 12 · at Djerv 1919 (A)2-5
- Sep 5 · v Varegg (H)2-2
Førde
LossDrawLossDrawWin
- Oct 3 · v Fyllingsdalen (H)6-2
- Sep 26 · at Asane Fotball 2 (A)2-2
- Sep 19 · v Fana (H)0-3
- Sep 16 · v Aalesunds FK (H)2-2
- Sep 12 · at Vard Haugesund (A)0-9
| Last 10 games | Austevoll | Førde |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-2-3 | 3-4-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.5 | 2.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.9 | 2.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 80% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-1-2 | 1-2-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.